As the Zionist ‘Left’ Disappear will the Generals’ Blue & White Party Replace Netanyahu?
In
most Western countries, parties compete over issues such as taxation,
nationalisation/privatisation, poverty, Brexit, refugees, global warming in
general elections. Political parties in most European countries, with the
exception of avowedly racist parties of the far-Right, are inclusive of ethnic
minorities and supporters of different religions and faiths. It is unknown in
Europe, with the exception of fascist parties, for parties to frame their
arguments in terms of maintaining a demographic majority of a certain section
of the population.
In Israel, the self-styled ‘only democracy in the Middle East’,
politics are entirely different. You have Jewish parties and Arab parties. Only
the Communist Party, Hadash, and to a less extent the left-Zionist party
Meretz, has a mixed membership.
Leaders of the Blue & White 'General's Party (l to r) Moshe Yalon, Benny Gantz, Yair Lapid, Gabi Ashmenazi |
The other feature of Israeli politics
is its political instability. Parties
come and go virtually every election. So Tzipi Livni’s Hatnuah, which was the offshoot of Kadimah and in 2009 the largest
party in the Knesset, latterly in alliance with the Israeli Labour Party, will
disappear.
There have been a plethora of 'centrist' parties in Israel, from the old General Zionists, to Shinui to Yesh Atid, each more right-wing than its predecessor.
Springing up out of nowhere is the Blue and White Party an alliance of the right-centrist (though in the Israeli context labels like left, right and centre are largely meaningless) Yesh Atid and Resilience, a new party formed by former Chief of Staff Benny Gantz together with two other former Chiefs of Staff Moshe Yalon and Gabi Ashkenzi. Not for nothing is it known as the General’s Party.
Springing up out of nowhere is the Blue and White Party an alliance of the right-centrist (though in the Israeli context labels like left, right and centre are largely meaningless) Yesh Atid and Resilience, a new party formed by former Chief of Staff Benny Gantz together with two other former Chiefs of Staff Moshe Yalon and Gabi Ashkenzi. Not for nothing is it known as the General’s Party.
As Elizabeth Tsurkov of the liberal
Zionist Forward observed
‘Campaign ads seem to be competing over which candidate has killed the
most Palestinians.’ This is what British politicians such as
Emily Thornberry and Barry Gardiner call a ‘beacon of democracy’. Presumably Jews getting
to have a vote on which party can kill most Arabs is an example of democracy at
its best!
Likud’s Avi Dichter, a former Director of
Shin Bet, Israel’s equivalent of MI5, put out a video which ends with “A thousand mothers of terrorists will cry
and my mother won’t.” In the minds of most Israelis every Palestinian is a terrorist.
Gantz put out an ad boasting of how many Palestinian militants had been killed
in Gaza in 2014. Tsurkov wrote that these campaign ads ‘demonize, ridicule and belittle
Palestinians, who are presented as a people without history, pathological liars
and terrorists.’ This is Israel today.
A primaries campaign video put out by Likud’s Deputy Foreign
Minister Tzipi Hotoveli shows her speaking in the Knesset where she presented a
book filled with empty pages. According to Hotovely, that book represents the
history of the Palestinian people. She proclaimed that: “You have no Kings, no heritage sites” in Israel. An ad
produced by Culture Minister Miri Regev, a self-proclaimed fascist, refers to
Palestinian citizens of Israel as a “trojan
horse,” and the Joint List uniting several Arab parties as a “fifth column.” Those with a sense of
history will remember that accusations of being a fifth column were a favourite
in the days of McCarthyism. It is a rerun of the Nazi theme of the 'stab in the back'.
Gantz boasted of sending Gaza back into ‘the stone age’ during Operation
Protective Edge in 2014. A boast not
without foundation. Netanyahu who is
playing the Arab card for all its worth accused Gantz and his party of being
‘leftists’ which in Israel today is an insult.
Yair Lapid has led Yesh Atid since 2012. In 2013 it obtained the second largest number
of seats, 19, and entered into coalition with Netanyahu. In the 2015 election
it fell back to 11 seats. It had been engaged in protracted negotiations with
Benny Gantz regarding an electoral coalition until Netanyahu made what could be a fatal mistake in pressurising
the far-Right Jewish Home party into
allying with the neo-Nazi Otzma Yehudit. This
resulted in the formation of the Blue and
White Party. See Ultra-nationalists
join forces ahead of Israeli elections as liberal and Palestinian blocs
splinter
Last week Jewish Home’s Central
Committee agreed to an electoral pact with Otzma
Yehudit which will receive the 5th and 8th seats on
the list making it all but certain that one of their members will be elected.
Even the worm, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, turns |
Otzma Yehudit
is led by an open supporter of the late Rabbi Meir Kahane, former MK Michael
ben Ari. The actions of Netanyahu in seeking to unify the ultra-Right with Otzma Yehudit has led to an
unprecedented backlash amongst diaspora Zionist organisations. Even the American Israel Public Affairs Committee has condemned
this alliance as has
the American Jewish Committee though this hasn't stopped AIPAC from inviting Netanyahu to its conference in March. Netanyahu’s opportunism however may backfire on him
judging by the reaction amongst even loyal Zionists abroad. As Phillip Weiss
and Yossi Gurvitz note
‘The outrage
at Netanyahu over the move has been unprecedented, for rehabilitating the
“David Dukes” of the Israeli political scene, heirs to Meir Kahane who advocate
for transfer of Palestinians to other countries.’
Israel Hayom, an
Israeli free-sheet which is owned by Sheldon Adelson, one of the largest donors
to Trump’s election campaign, had a screaming headline calling AIPAC ‘irresponsible’ for getting involved in domestic politics.
Netanyahu’s rationale was that Otzma Yehudit might, as in the 2013 and
2015 elections ‘waste’ votes by standing and thus imperil the election of a
Likud government. His solution was for Jewish
Home to form an electoral pact with Otzma
Yehudit because a party now needs 3.25% to enter the Knesset.
The Jewish Home Party is already in
an electoral alliance with Bezalel Smotrich MK’s
Tkuma
party. Smotrich describes himself as a ‘proud
homophobe’ and openly supports the segregation of Israel’s Arab citizens.
He has defended the practice of Israeli hospitals which separate Jewish and
Arab women in maternity wards.
Israel’s General Election is
impossible to call at the moment because there are a number of variables, not
least the impact if Netanyahu is indicted for corruption. In
most countries this would be a death sentence for a candidate but Israel is not
most countries.
According
to polling from Israel’s Channel 12 in Israel (tweeted by Lahav Harkov) the
following is how the parties fare:
Blue and White 36
Likud 30
Labor 8
UTJ (religious party) 7
New Right 6 (Shaked/Bennett)
Ta’al Hadash (Tibi/Odeh) 6
Joint List 6
Shas (religious Mizrahi party) 5
Yisrael Beytenu 4
Bayit Yehudi (including Jewish Power) 4
Meretz 4
Kulanu 4
Likud 30
Labor 8
UTJ (religious party) 7
New Right 6 (Shaked/Bennett)
Ta’al Hadash (Tibi/Odeh) 6
Joint List 6
Shas (religious Mizrahi party) 5
Yisrael Beytenu 4
Bayit Yehudi (including Jewish Power) 4
Meretz 4
Kulanu 4
It is clear that
the Israeli Labour
Party is heading for disaster. The
ILP formed every single government from 1948 to 1977 as well as the 1992 and
1999 governments. It was last in a coalition government in 2011. Since then
Netanyahu has formed every government. In 2015 under Isaac Herzog the ILP ran
on a joint electoral list with Tzipi Livni’s Hatnuah and gained 24 seats.
In 2017 the
ILP elected a new leader, Avi
Gabbay, a former Minister
in Netanyahu’s government, who immediately decided to move the ILP several
degrees further to the Right. Among his
policy innovations were to support
Netanyahu’s attempt to deport Israel’s 40,000 Black African
refugees on the grounds that they were neither White nor Jewish. He also supported
the retention of the settlements. Gabbay, who was Chief Executive of Israel’s
largest company, Bezeq International, a telecommunications giant, from
2007-2014 echoed Netanyahu when he declared
that:
"In 1997, Bibi [Benjamin Netanyahu] said that 'the left has forgotten what it means to be
Jewish.' Do you know what the left did in response? Forgot [how] to be
Jews,"
This is the pathetic level of the ideology of the Israeli Labour Party. It is a sign of desperation of a party which has no purpose and it would seem no social base in Israel.
Gabbay at the beginning of the election campaign, in front of the TV cameras, publicly humiliated Tzipi Livni by announcing that their electoral pact was over. Livni, although a horrendous racist and a war criminal in her own right, is nonetheless seen as on the left in Israel, which is an indication of just how far right-wing Israeli politics are today. But if Gabbay thought that he would receive an electoral boost from this he was soon to be disappointed. The ILP ‘strategy’ of moving further and further to the Right simply alienates those Israelis still on the Left without appeasing those on the Right. Gabbay is yet to learn that however fast and far he moves to the Right Netanyahu can move even faster, even to the extent of taking genuine neo-Nazis on board.
Gabbay at the beginning of the election campaign, in front of the TV cameras, publicly humiliated Tzipi Livni by announcing that their electoral pact was over. Livni, although a horrendous racist and a war criminal in her own right, is nonetheless seen as on the left in Israel, which is an indication of just how far right-wing Israeli politics are today. But if Gabbay thought that he would receive an electoral boost from this he was soon to be disappointed. The ILP ‘strategy’ of moving further and further to the Right simply alienates those Israelis still on the Left without appeasing those on the Right. Gabbay is yet to learn that however fast and far he moves to the Right Netanyahu can move even faster, even to the extent of taking genuine neo-Nazis on board.
At the moment although Blue and White is estimated to gain 36
seats to the Likud’s 30, Netanyahu still has the greatest chance of forming a government coalition.
Gantz’s B&W, even if it receives the support of Meretz, the ILP and Kulanu
will still only have 52 seats. Given their refusal to contemplate a coalition
with Arabs, Netanyahu is likely to be able to form a coalition with the
religious parties (12) and the far-Right parties (15) making a total of 57.
If current projections
are correct then the Jewish Orthodox parties will go down from 13 to 12 seats,
Kulanu - a Likud offshoot - will decline from 10 to four - and the far-Right
will increase from 11 to 14.
Netanyahu and Mendelbit in happier times |
However this is to miss out one
factor. The Police long ago recommended that Netanyahu should be indicted for
corruption and it is likely
that before the election campaign finishes Attorney General Avichai Mendelbit
will charge Netanyahu.
In most states purporting to be democratic and a few which are not, that
would spell the death knell of a candidate.
However in Israel nothing is guaranteed.
There has been a systematic campaign of intimidation against Mendelbit
including the desecration of his father’s grave. Such is the nature of Israeli politics.
Meretz, which originates in Ratz, the
Civil Rights Party and Mapam, the United Workers Party, had 12 seats in
1992. Today they have five seats and are
hovering on the brink of extinction with a predicted 4 seats. If Meretz do fail
to get candidates elected to the Knesset it will be the end of a long tradition
of left-Zionism, the most hypocritical face of Zionism. They talked socialism
but practised segregation. Mapam talked about co-existence but their Kibbutzim
were not only Jewish only but were established on the ruins of destroyed Arab
villages.
In March 2018 Tamar Zandberg replaced
Zehava Gal On as leader of Meretz. Tamar Zandberg was elected after having hired
a right-wing election fixer Moshe Klughaft as an adviser to her campaign.
Klughaft was previously a strategist for Jewish
Home and had targeted left-wing activists and NGO’s.
Under Zandberg Meretz has
focussed mainly on peripheral topics such as the environment, cannabis
legalisation, civil and gay marriage to the exclusion of the major issue in
Israel which is the Occupation of the Territories and the racism and
discrimination against Israel’s Palestinian citizens.
Avi Gabbay (Israeli Labor Party) and Tamar Zandberg (Meretz) |
Zandberg is on record as stating
that she would join a government coalition with Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beteinu. Lieberman is an open
advocate of the transfer of Israel’s Arab population out of Israel and the
imposition of a loyalty oath on Israel’s non-Jewish population. Galon called this
‘flushing ideology down the toilet”
though to be fair Meretz has long ago dispensed with anything in the way of
ideology.
Zandberg also called on the
Israeli Labour Party to form a joint party or electoral pact, which would save
Meretz from extinction but Gabbay rejected
this out of hand.
The other major development is
the splitting of the Joint Arab-Jewish List into two. Previously the Arab
parties have run separately but in 2014, on the proposal of Avigdor Lieberman,
Israel’s fascist Defence Minister, the threshold for election to the Knesset
was raised from 2% to 3.25%. The purpose was to eliminate the Arab parties from
the Knesset but what happened was that they unified in one Joint List. Ironically Lieberman’s Yisrael Beteinu nearly didn’t qualify!
Ahmad Tibi (Ta'al) and Aymen Odeh (Haddash) |
However this time around the
Joint list has split into two separate electoral alliances. Ahmad Tibi’s Ta'al
has combined with Haddash (Communist) and Balad (National Democratic Union) has
united with the United Arab List (Ra’am). Tibi, a veteran member of the
Knesset, believed
that his group, was underrepresented in the Knesset.
According to the Channel 12 poll
above both alliances are scheduled to get 6 seats each though according to
Channel 13’s poll, as reported in The
Times of Israel, the Hadash-Ta'al group will get 10 seats and Balad and
Ra’am will get 4 seats, which if true would be an improvement of one over the
present situation.
I hesitate from this distance to
make any predictions about Israel’s General Election. My hunch is that Likud will be rocked by Netanyahu’s
indictment and that this may propel the General’s party into power. What isn’t
in much doubt is that the Zionist ‘left’, if it can be called that, is going to
be heavily defeated. It is quite possible that Meretz, whose raison d’être has long since vanished will
disappear and the Israeli Labour Party will pay a heavy price for trying to imitated
Likud.
On the Israeli Palestinian front
it is regrettable that the Joint Arab List split. It is entirely possible that
Balad and Ra’am will also fail to make the minimum of 4 seats and thus be
eliminated from the Knesset. It is a great pity that firstly Ahmad Tibi put the
interests of his own party above Arab unity and secondly that Hadash and the
more nationalist parties were unable to unite.
Hadash has always had a Jewish
member of the Knesset even though it receives very few Jewish votes. The days
have long since gone when Israel’s Jewish voters would elect communists to the
Knesset. However the replacement for Dov
Kheinin, Dr Ofer Cassif, a lecturer at Jerusalem’s Hebrew University is a far
more dynamic character. He has had no hesitation in describing Israel today as
politically similar to Nazi Germany in the 1930’s.
In a lecture to his students,
which was secretly recorded he stated
that
‘"those
who refuse to see the similarities between what is happening in Israel,
specifically in the past two years, and Germany in the 1930s, has a problem and
will be responsible for the potential situation of the state."
Dr Ofer Casif, Hadash's Jewish candidate and lecturer at Hebrew University |
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