For Once Blair is Right – An Election Now is an Elephant Trap
It
pains me to say it but the old war criminal is right! Along with
about 5,000 others, I attended the demonstration outside Parliament this
evening. Contrary to the description of it as a Momentum
demonstration I did not spot one single Momentum banner. Tariq Ali in
particular was in good form!
However the
adventures were all taking place inside the House of Commons. In what must rank
as the greatest split in the Conservative Party since the passing of the Corn Laws
in 1846, not only did Boris Johnson lose his majority because Philip Lee MP crossed the floor of
the House to join the Lib-Dems but 21 of his own MPs voted in favour of the
Commons taking control of its own business.
Rees-Mogg, the multi-millionaire whose disdain and arrogance is written all over his face |
It is said that
those whom the gods seek to destroy they first drive mad and at first sight it
would seem that Johnson, alongside his dementor, Dominic Cummings
(creatures that are said to suck happiness out of life) have decided to
hijack the Tory Party and in so doing alienate their natural big business
supporters. Time will tell how this ploy works out but sacking two former
Chancellors of the Exchequer and a raft of former Ministers doesn’t seem the
best way out of the crisis.
Racist Brexit Poster |
However it
could be argued that from Johnson’s perspective he had no choice. By sacking
his detractors and going for a new election he can then remake the Tory party
in his own image. If that is the strategy it is a decidedly risky one since he
is alienating the ruling class. Boris’s tenure in No.
10 may be limited.
However my
concern is not with the fate of the Tory Party but the Labour Party. The
question is what does Jeremy Corbyn do now?
I have to
be blunt. Corbyn’s strategy for the past 3 years on Brexit has been dire. There
is no mistake he hasn’t made from calling
for Theresa May to initiate Article 50 on day one to having to be dragged
screaming into supporting a second referendum.
Sir Robert Peel, at the time of the Corn Laws, surrounded by Disraeli and others taunting him - the Tories were out of power for 30 years as a result |
Even now
Labour’s position is unclear as Corbyn genuflects to the position of the Communist Party 40 years ago when the Soviet Union sought
to weaken the then EEC and left-wing trade union leaders preferred to indulge
in a bout of nationalism to fighting the social contract policies of the Wilson
and Callaghan governments.
Corbyn’s
inability to articulate his position on virtually anything has severely
weakened his position. When socialists support
him it is despite his actions not because of them.
Demonstration outside Parliament last night |
Corbyn's capitulation to the fake anti-Semitism smears has spread the view that the Labour
Party is anti-Semitic. He idiotically adopted the IHRA definition of anti-Semitism
in order to play #metoo to Theresa May.
An act of utter stupidity and contrary to everything he had done
before becoming leader.
Someone who
possessed an ounce of backbone and/or intelligence would have pointed to the real
racism against asylum seekers on the Labour Right and the hypocrisy of those
who created the ‘hostile environment’ policy leading to the Windrush Scandal and the failures over Grenfell Tower.
Corbyn’s
apologising and temporising for ‘anti-Semitism’, his refusal to state where he
stood on Brexit and much more has resulted in a large part of his earlier
support drifting into the camp of his opponents. People can pretend otherwise but Corbyn would
have difficulty mustering a majority in another vote for leader today.
Throwing
supporters like Ken Livingstone, Chris Williamson, Pete Willsman, Jackie
Walker, Marc Wadsworth and of course myself to the wolves has weakened
him. Repeatedly the Zionist Jewish
Labour Movement have come back for more victims and at their last poorly
attended conference passed a motion
of no confidence in him almost unanimously. Almost pathetically, Corbyn’s
response to the JLM’s threat of leaving Labour was to beg
them to stay!
Corbyn’s
refusal to adopt a clear remain position has allowed the Lib-Dems to recover
from a near terminal position in 2017 to a situation where they are now almost
level pegging at around 20%, just behind the Labour Party.
I can’t even
be bothered with those fools who believe that because the European Union is a
neo-liberal organisation that we should leave. As if the prospects of an
independent British capitalist state under the thumb of Donald Trump, low
taxes, American companies in the NHS and chlorinated chicken is an advantage since
we will now pass our own laws. We will
even have our own reactionary judges making decisions, immune to the influence
of those foreigners on the European Court of Justice.
The idea
that you might remain part of the EU whilst opposing the competition laws and
refusing to accept any interference in renationalisation has not occurred to Corbyn
or his supporters. Remain and Reform should have been our slogan.
However
this does not solve the problem of what to do now. The House of Commons will no doubt pass legislation
tomorrow preventing a no deal Brexit.
Given that he has sacked 21 Tory MPs Johnson seems to have copper
bottomed his own defeat. The question is
what Labour should do.
At the
present time it would, in my opinion, be madness to vote for a general
election. Brexit needs to be sorted out and the only way that can be done is a second referendum. Corbyn should be pushing
that strongly. The situation today has obviously changed since 2016 since
people know what the choices are – No Deal or Staying in the EU.
If, instead
of continuing to drag his feet, Corbyn were to lead the campaign for a second
referendum and whip Labour members into line there is every chance that such legislation
would pass. It is after such a result that there should be a general election. The
effect of a positive, yes vote in a Referendum would be to totally destroy the
standing and credibility of Boris Johnson but it needs Labour not the Lib Dems to
be seen to be leading that campaign.
I write
this in the knowledge that my advice will be ignored. Almost alone of bloggers and writers I
predicted, in two articles in April
and June
2016 the prospect of a hung Parliament. If there is a general election soon I
have to say I feel no such confidence. Corbynism may have run its course.
Tony
Greenstein
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